Moody's (MCO) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $4.14
- Estimate
- $4.25
- Surprise
- -2.5%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $2.02B
- Score today
- 6.4/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Moody's (MCO) missed the $4.25 estimate with adjusted EPS of $4.14 — a modest 2.5% shortfall.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates MCO Buy (Wait) at 6.4/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -2.5% surprise compares with a +4.0% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.4 in RISK_OFF)
- Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
What argues against it
- Thin upside margin: 3.1%
- Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5
- Expensive valuation
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $481.05
- Entry target
- $455.73
- Price target
- $496.16
- Stop
- $431.53
- Upside to target
- +3.1%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.3:1
The stock trades at 30.5× trailing but 25.6× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: trading volume is running 2.1× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-22 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
MCO at TrendMatrix's latest read
For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.
- Industry
- Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
- Market cap
- $83.31B
- P/E (fwd)
- 25.6
- P/E (ttm)
- 30.5
- 52-week range
- $402.28–$546.88
- Off 52-week high
- 12.0%
- RSI (14)
- 70
- Volume vs avg
- 2.07×
- Score today
- 6.4/10