Moelis & (MC) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.75
- Estimate
- $0.72
- Surprise
- +3.7%
- Score at report (before → after)
- 6.1 → 5.9/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
Moelis & (MC) beat the $0.72 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.75 — a clear 3.7% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Hold (6.1/10) to Buy (Wait) at 5.9/10 after the report — the engine's score fell despite the beat.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates MC Buy (Wait) at 6.0/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +3.7% surprise compares with a +9.3% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.2 in RISK_OFF)
- Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
What argues against it
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- Negative momentum
- Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $57.39
- Entry target
- $52.84
- Price target
- $58.55
- Stop
- $49.84
- Upside to target
- +2.0%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.2:1
The stock trades at 19.3× trailing but 15.1× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-06 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
MC at TrendMatrix's latest read
For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.
- Industry
- Capital Markets
- Market cap
- $4.32B
- P/E (fwd)
- 15.1
- P/E (ttm)
- 19.3
- 52-week range
- $51.06–$78.22
- Off 52-week high
- 26.6%
- RSI (14)
- 60
- Volume vs avg
- 0.39×
- Score today
- 6.0/10