Malibu Boats (MBUU) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.15
- Estimate
- $0.23
- Surprise
- -33.5%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $252.9M
- Score today
- 5.9/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Malibu Boats (MBUU) missed the $0.23 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.15 — a large 33.5% shortfall.
Coverage in the report window
- B. Riley Securities Reiterates Neutral on Malibu Boats, Lowers Price Target to $22 — benzinga, 2026-11-06
- Malibu Boats Q1 2027 Earnings Call Transcript — benzinga, 2026-11-05
- Malibu Boats, Inc. Announces Financial Results for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2026 — fiscal.ai, 2026-11-05
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates MBUU Sell at 5.9/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -33.5% surprise compares with a -36.2% four-quarter average.
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Customer: top ten dealers (62.4%)
- Concentration risk — Supplier: sole supplier or limited number of suppliers
- Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $20.74
- Price target
- $29.69
- Stop
- $19.29
- Upside to target
- +43.2%
- Reward-to-risk
- 3.6:1
The stock trades at 49.1× trailing but 6.7× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-06 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
MBUU at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Recreational Vehicles
- Market cap
- $406.2M
- P/E (fwd)
- 6.7
- P/E (ttm)
- 49.1
- 52-week range
- $19.46–$34.97
- Off 52-week high
- 40.7%
- RSI (14)
- 45
- Volume vs avg
- 0.61×
- Score today
- 5.9/10