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LZLegalZoom.com, Inc.Sell5.1·$6.90-0.27%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

LegalZoom carries a wide economic moat and exceptional cash generation, but a confirmed price downtrend, consecutive earnings misses, and heavy short-seller interest make this a story where the underlying business quality has not yet translated into positive price momentum or earnings execution.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Cash Generation MoatStable
  • Cheap Forward ValuationStable
  • Consecutive Earnings MissesStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

LegalZoom.com, Inc. (LZ) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $6.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: subscription revenue (65.0%).

LegalZoom operates an online platform providing legal, compliance, and business-management services to small businesses and consumers across all 50 states, combining AI-enabled technology with an independent network of over 1,000 attorneys and its own Arizona-based law firm. The... Read more

$6.90+0.9% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#19 of 29 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield11.04%
Stop $6.55Target $7.10(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$8.00+15.9%6 analysts
$7.10our TP
$6.90price
$8.00mean
$7
$10

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $6.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: subscription revenue (65.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About LegalZoom.com, Inc.

About LegalZoom.com, Inc.

LegalZoom generated approximately 65% of its 2025 revenue from subscription services - registered agent, compliance, legal plans, and virtual mail among them - with the remainder from one-time transaction products led by business formation filings, which represented the largest share of transaction orders in both 2025 and 2024. The company operates across all 50 U.S. states and over 3,000 counties, supported by an independent network of more than 1,000 attorneys and its own Arizona-licensed law firm, and had formed over 5.0 million businesses since inception as of December 31, 2025.

LegalZoom's initial customer touchpoint is typically a business formation transaction, after which the company works to convert customers into subscribers for ongoing compliance, legal-plan, and business-management needs, deepening customer lifetime value over the life of the business. The February 2025 acquisition of Formation Nation added the discount Inc Authority brand for do-it-yourself formations and the white-glove Nevada Corporate Headquarters brand for premium compliance services, complementing LegalZoom's existing DIY-to-concierge product spectrum. Customer acquisition depends heavily on internet search traffic, including algorithmic and paid listings on platforms such as Google and Meta, exposing the company to search-algorithm changes and rising AI-driven answer engines as new discovery channels. LegalZoom competes against traditional law firms and solo attorneys, other online legal-document and registered-agent providers, and state and federal agencies that have begun offering free or low-cost business-formation and filing services directly to LegalZoom's target customers.

Show full overview

LegalZoom's subscription base is structurally dependent on the health of new business formation volume, since the 10-K states that subscriptions have primarily originated from transactional customers who opted to become subscribers rather than from independent acquisition channels. The company disclosed a deceleration in subscription revenue growth during 2024, and any sustained decline in U.S. business formations - which the 10-K flags as sensitive to economic slowdowns, tariffs, interest rates, and policy actions by the current presidential administration - would compress both the transaction revenue tied to new formations and the subscriber pipeline that funds LegalZoom's larger, higher-margin recurring revenue base.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Business Services

From LegalZoom.com, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Wide economic moat
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: subscription revenue (65.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)115.3
P/E (Fwd)8.4
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA33.4
Profit Mgn1.5%
ROE6.8%
Rev Growth12.9%
Beta1.31
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C1.63bearish
IV90%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductsubscription revenue65%
    10-K Item 1: 'For the year ended December 31, 2025, approximately 65% of our revenue was derived from subscriptions.'
  • MEDIUMProductbusiness formation services
    10-K Item 1A: 'The majority of our transaction revenue is generated by providing business formation services to guide our customers.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.0
52w Position
1.4
Gap
6.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/2M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
3.6
Value Rank
3.7
Growth Rank
7.9
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
73 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.22Resistance $7.25

Price Targets

$7
$7
A.Upside+2.9%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LZ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $6.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: subscription revenue (65.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Prior stop was $6.55. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.10 (+0.9% upside). Prior stop was $6.55. Stop-loss: $6.55.

What are the risks of investing in LZ?

Concentration risk — Product: subscription revenue (65.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is LZ overvalued or undervalued?

LegalZoom.com, Inc. trades at a P/E of 115.3 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LZ?

17 analysts cover LZ with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $8.

What does LegalZoom.com, Inc. do?LegalZoom operates an online platform providing legal, compliance, and business-management services to small businesses...

LegalZoom operates an online platform providing legal, compliance, and business-management services to small businesses and consumers across all 50 states, combining AI-enabled technology with an independent network of over 1,000 attorneys and its own Arizona-based law firm. The company has formed over 5.0 million businesses since inception and earns revenue from transaction products (formation, trademarks, estate planning) and subscription services (registered agent, compliance, legal plans, virtual mail), with subscriptions making up approximately 65% of 2025 revenue. Its February 2025 acqui

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