Southwest Airlines (LUV) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.66
- Estimate
- $0.58
- Surprise
- +14.3%
- Score today
- 5.5/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
Southwest Airlines (LUV) beat the $0.58 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.66 — a large 14.3% upside surprise.
Coverage in the report window
- Southwest Airlines Reports Q3 2026 Financial Results — fiscal.ai, 2026-10-21
- Southwest Airlines Stock Rises, Even with $821 Million Increase in Fuel Expenses: Here’s Why — benzinga, 2026-10-21
- Southwest Airlines Says Q3 2026 Fuel Cost Was $3.92 per Gallon; For Q4 2026 Fuel Cost Per Gallon Is Assumed To Be ~$4.55 — benzinga, 2026-10-21
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates LUV Sell at 5.5/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +14.3% surprise compares with a +22.8% four-quarter average.
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Supplier: Boeing
- Concentration risk — Supplier: single engine supplier
- Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $39.88
- Price target
- $44.26
- Stop
- $37.34
- Upside to target
- +11.0%
- Reward-to-risk
- 1.6:1
The stock trades at 24.9× trailing but 9.2× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-22 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
LUV at TrendMatrix's latest read
Industrial quarters are order-book stories — backlog and book-to-bill color how the market reads the reported number.
- Industry
- Airlines
- Market cap
- $19.51B
- P/E (fwd)
- 9.2
- P/E (ttm)
- 24.9
- 52-week range
- $29.26–$55.11
- Off 52-week high
- 27.6%
- RSI (14)
- 40
- Volume vs avg
- 1.49×
- Score today
- 5.5/10