Lemonade (LMND) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- -$0.56
- Estimate
- -$0.58
- Surprise
- +3.1%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $336.1M
- Score today
- 5.8/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Lemonade (LMND) reported a narrower loss than forecast — adjusted EPS of -$0.56 against the -$0.58 estimate (a 3.1% beat on a still-unprofitable quarter).
Coverage in the report window
- Citizens Maintains Market Outperform on Lemonade, Lowers Price Target to $75 — benzinga, 2026-11-06
- Piper Sandler Maintains Neutral on Lemonade, Lowers Price Target to $47 — benzinga, 2026-11-06
- Lemonade, Inc. Announces Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results — fiscal.ai, 2026-11-05
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates LMND Sell at 5.8/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +3.1% surprise compares with a +12.5% four-quarter average.
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Supplier: sole provider of third-party data centers
- Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
- Momentum score 2.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $40.34
- Price target
- $50.85
- Stop
- $37.94
- Upside to target
- +26.1%
- Reward-to-risk
- 2.0:1
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-06 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
LMND at TrendMatrix's latest read
For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.
- Industry
- Insurance - Property & Casualty
- Market cap
- $3.21B
- P/E (fwd)
- -47.7
- 52-week range
- $39.60–$99.90
- Off 52-week high
- 59.6%
- RSI (14)
- 43
- Volume vs avg
- 0.47×
- Score today
- 5.8/10