CarMax (KMX) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $1.16
- Estimate
- $0.73
- Surprise
- +58.6%
- Revenue (period 2026-08-31)
- $7.88B
- Score today
- 5.5/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
CarMax (KMX) beat the $0.73 estimate with adjusted EPS of $1.16 — a large 58.6% upside surprise.
Coverage in the report window
- Why Is Carvana Stock Falling on Thursday? — benzinga, 2026-10-01
- UBS Maintains Neutral on CarMax, Raises Price Target to $62 — benzinga, 2026-09-30
- Nasdaq 100 Climbs as Cooler PCE Cuts Rate Hike Bets, Micron Earnings Loom: Stock Market Today — benzinga, 2026-09-30
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates KMX Sell at 5.5/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +58.6% surprise compares with a +56.0% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-12-17.
What argues against it
- Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
- Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.6%), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.09% of cap)
- Momentum score 4.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $51.48
- Price target
- $53.20
- Stop
- $47.88
- Upside to target
- +3.3%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.3:1
The stock trades at 24.4× trailing but 14.3× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-08 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
KMX at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Auto & Truck Dealerships
- Market cap
- $7.31B
- P/E (fwd)
- 14.3
- P/E (ttm)
- 24.4
- 52-week range
- $31.81–$65.28
- Off 52-week high
- 21.1%
- RSI (14)
- 50
- Volume vs avg
- 0.72×
- Score today
- 5.5/10