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ICUIICU Medical, Inc.Sell4.5·$142.41-0.91%
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ICU Medical, Inc. (ICUI) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Sell if holding. At $142.41, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.6%; Concentration risk — Supplier: single supplier.

ICU Medical develops, manufactures, and sells medical devices for infusion therapy, vascular access, and vital care, serving acute care hospitals, ambulatory clinics, and long-term care facilities in over 100 countries. Revenue flows through direct sales and distributors... Read more

$142.41+5.6% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#26 of 26 Medical Instruments & Supplies
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield10.78%
Stop $133.33Target $150.39(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$172.86+21.4%7 analysts
$150.39our TP
$142.41price
$172.86mean
$200

Sell if holding. At $142.41, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.6%; Concentration risk — Supplier: single supplier. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, news boost analyst cluster(3), earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Recent Analyst Cluster(3) detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single supplier
Thin upside margin: 5.6%
Weak overall score: 4.5/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)77.3
P/E (Fwd)15.4
Mkt Cap$3.6B
EV/EBITDA14.9
Profit Mgn2.1%
ROE2.3%
Rev Growth-12.3%
Beta0.78
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.23bullish
IV49%normal
Max Pain$150+5.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomersingle distributor18%
    10-K Item 1: 'we had worldwide net sales to a single distributor of 18%, 18%, and 16% of consolidated net sales, respectively'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle supplier
    10-K Item 1: 'Certain components and raw materials are available only from a single supplier'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -12.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -12%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
3.7
Quality Rank
3.8

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.1
Bollinger
2.0
52w Position
7.8
GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(3)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $119.69Resistance $145.25

Price Targets

$133
$150
A.Upside+5.6%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ICUI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $142.41, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.6%; Concentration risk — Supplier: single supplier. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $133.33. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ICUI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $150.39 (+5.6% upside). Prior stop was $133.33. Stop-loss: $133.33.

What are the risks of investing in ICUI?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single supplier; Thin upside margin: 5.6%; Weak overall score: 4.5/10.

Is ICUI overvalued or undervalued?

ICU Medical, Inc. trades at a P/E of 77.3 (forward 15.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ICUI?

12 analysts cover ICUI with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $173.

What does ICU Medical, Inc. do?ICU Medical develops, manufactures, and sells medical devices for infusion therapy, vascular access, and vital care,...

ICU Medical develops, manufactures, and sells medical devices for infusion therapy, vascular access, and vital care, serving acute care hospitals, ambulatory clinics, and long-term care facilities in over 100 countries. Revenue flows through direct sales and distributors globally, with a single distributor accounting for 18% of consolidated net sales in 2025. In May 2025, ICU closed a transaction transferring its IV Solutions business to a joint venture with Otsuka Pharmaceutical Factory America, retaining a 40% stake.

Related stocks: NVST (Envista Holdings Corporation) · WST (West Pharmaceutical Services, I) · RMD (ResMed Inc.) · LMAT (LeMaitre Vascular, Inc.) · MMED (MiniMed Group, Inc.)
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