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IBNICICI Bank LimitedHold5.9·$25.70-0.96%
IBN · Why this verdict

Why ICICI Bank (IBN) is rated HOLD

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.9/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

7.7/10data confidence 83%
ComponentSub-score
P/E7.5
P/S10.0
Fwd P/E8.5
PEG4.9
Analyst target7.5
  • Forward P/E: 13.6x
  • PEG: 1.62
  • Attractively valued

Quality

5.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE5.5
ROA1.4
Gross margin0.0
Op margin10.0
Net margin10.0
Moat5.9
Piotroski F4.4
  • Strong margins: 25%

Growth

6.8/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth10.0
EPS growth3.7
  • Strong growth: 67% YoY

Momentum

3.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI4.5
MACD6.8
OBV1.4
MA position1.0
Volume3.7
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Sentiment

6.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating5.0
Price target9.1
erm sentiment5.0
  • Analyst upside: 38%

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.0
  • Negligible insider selling — $3,003,985 (0.003% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

6.3/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank5.4
quality rank5.4
growth rank9.5
  • Superior ROE vs peers
  • Industry growth leader

Technical

5.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger6.5
support resistance6.0
52w position5.0

Risk (lower is worse)

6.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest9.2
days to cover7.3
volatility7.3
put call0.0
implied vol3.5
beta10.0
  • Elevated put/call: 4.09

Catalyst

5.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history6.7
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg3.7
dividend safety5.2
  • Strong earnings: 3B/1M
  • Dividend: 96.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_HOLD
Passed (7)
  • ASYMMETRY:3.4>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:40d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • MOMENTUM:3.5<4.5
  • DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
3.40
Upside
+17.0%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRECOVERY Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: ASYMMETRY:3.4>=1.5. Top dim: Value at 7.7; weakest: Momentum at 3.5. No conviction either direction.

The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.7, Growth at 6.8, and Sentiment at 6.3; the weakest are Momentum at 3.5, Insider at 5.0, and Catalyst at 5.1. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 3.40 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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