Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $2.45
- Estimate
- $2.37
- Surprise
- +3.6%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $3.33B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.1 → 5.0/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT) beat the $2.37 estimate with adjusted EPS of $2.45 — a clear 3.6% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.1/10) to Sell at 5.0/10 after the report — the engine's score fell despite the beat.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates HLT Sell at 5.1/10.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +3.6% surprise compares with a +2.3% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.4 in RISK_OFF)
- Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
What argues against it
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
- Expensive valuation
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $344.65
- Stop
- $327.85
The stock trades at 46.5× trailing but 33.0× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: trading volume is running 1.8× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-28 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
HLT at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Lodging
- Market cap
- $77.57B
- P/E (fwd)
- 33.0
- P/E (ttm)
- 46.5
- 52-week range
- $253.54–$364.50
- Off 52-week high
- 5.4%
- RSI (14)
- 68
- Volume vs avg
- 1.84×
- Score today
- 5.1/10