Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- $0.89
- Estimate
- $1.01
- Surprise
- -11.7%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $1.21B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.7 → 5.8/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) missed the $1.01 estimate with diluted EPS of $0.89 — a large 11.7% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.7/10) to Sell at 5.8/10 after the report — the engine's score rose despite the miss.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates HGV Sell at 5.2/10.
1 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -11.7% surprise compares with a -1.7% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-10-29.
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Counterparty: Hilton license agreement
- Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
- Momentum score 1.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $41.86
- Price target
- $48.40
- Stop
- $39.75
- Upside to target
- +15.6%
- Reward-to-risk
- 2.2:1
The stock trades at 23.4× trailing but 7.5× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-03 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
HGV at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Resorts & Casinos
- Market cap
- $3.28B
- P/E (fwd)
- 7.5
- P/E (ttm)
- 23.4
- 52-week range
- $36.79–$55.40
- Off 52-week high
- 24.4%
- RSI (14)
- 31
- Volume vs avg
- 0.69×
- Score today
- 5.2/10