Green Plains (GPRE) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $1.03
- Estimate
- $0.62
- Surprise
- +67.0%
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.1 → 5.1/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
Green Plains (GPRE) beat the $0.62 estimate with adjusted EPS of $1.03 — a large 67.0% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Sell (5.1/10) to Hold at 5.1/10 after the report.
Coverage in the report window
- Green Plains Inc. Reports Q3 2026 Financial Results — fiscal.ai, 2026-11-05
- Green Plains Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript — benzinga, 2026-11-05
- Green Plains Q3 EPS $1.03 Beats $0.55 Estimate, Sales $495.990M Beat $491.418M Estimate — benzinga, 2026-11-05
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates GPRE Hold at 5.2/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +67.0% surprise compares with a +7.4% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
- Earnings estimates trending UP
What argues against it
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3)
- Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
- Weak growth
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $13.61
- Price target
- $16.09
- Stop
- $12.66
- Upside to target
- +18.2%
- Reward-to-risk
- 2.1:1
At 8.5× trailing and 8.1× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-06 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
GPRE at TrendMatrix's latest read
Materials producers report against the commodity cycle — realized-price capture and volume, not the EPS line, are the tells in a quarter like this.
- Industry
- Chemicals
- Market cap
- $960.3M
- P/E (fwd)
- 8.1
- P/E (ttm)
- 8.5
- 52-week range
- $9.29–$19.65
- Off 52-week high
- 30.7%
- RSI (14)
- 41
- Volume vs avg
- 0.48×
- Score today
- 5.2/10