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GPKGraphic Packaging Holding CompaSell5.3·$10.56-1.31%

Graphic Packaging Holding Compa (GPK) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+14.8% vs estimateEPS $0.14 vs $0.12 estCurrent verdict Sell 5.3/10

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
$0.14
Estimate
$0.12
Surprise
+14.8%
Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
$2.18B
Score today
5.3/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

Graphic Packaging Holding Compa (GPK) beat the $0.12 estimate with diluted EPS of $0.14 — a large 14.8% upside surprise.

Current read · as of 2026-09-04

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates GPK Sell at 5.3/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.

3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +14.8% surprise compares with a +12.0% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-09.

What argues against it

  • Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
  • Momentum score 1.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
  • Reward/Risk 0.5:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$10.56
Price target
$10.95
Stop
$10.15
Upside to target
+3.7%
Reward-to-risk
0.5:1

The stock trades at 17.0× trailing but 9.6× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Consumer Cyclical context

GPK at TrendMatrix's latest read

Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.

Industry
Packaging & Containers
Market cap
$3.17B
P/E (fwd)
9.6
P/E (ttm)
17.0
52-week range
$8.79$21.71
Off 52-week high
51.4%
RSI (14)
43
Volume vs avg
0.15×
Score today
5.3/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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