Graco (GGG) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.81
- Estimate
- $0.84
- Surprise
- -3.1%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-25)
- $586.4M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.8 → 5.8/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Graco (GGG) missed the $0.84 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.81 — a clear 3.1% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.8/10) to Sell at 5.8/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates GGG Sell at 5.8/10.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -3.1% surprise compares with a -0.2% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.6 in RISK_OFF)
- High-quality business
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (60.0%)
- Concentration risk — Supplier: single suppliers
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $81.81
- Stop
- $79.07
At 26.4× trailing and 23.3× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.
Risk check: RSI 73 — a level conventionally read as overbought; gains at these levels often lean on momentum.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-22 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
GGG at TrendMatrix's latest read
Industrial quarters are order-book stories — backlog and book-to-bill color how the market reads the reported number.
- Industry
- Specialty Industrial Machinery
- Market cap
- $13.25B
- P/E (fwd)
- 23.3
- P/E (ttm)
- 26.4
- 52-week range
- $72.51–$95.69
- Off 52-week high
- 14.5%
- RSI (14)
- 73
- Volume vs avg
- 1.14×
- Score today
- 5.8/10