Value
9.5/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 7.1 |
| P/S | 9.5 |
| EV/EBITDA | 10.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 10.0 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 2.2x
- ▸PEG: 0.00
- ▸Attractively valued
GAU · Why this verdict
Why Galiano Gold (GAU) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
7.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 4.9 |
| ROA | 8.9 |
| Gross margin | 6.1 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 3.5 |
| Current ratio | 3.9 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 8.4 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 242% FCF/NI
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
5.0/10data confidence 50%Momentum
5.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 4.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 7.0 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
6.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.6 |
| Price target | 10.0 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (1.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 115%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%Peer rank
4.5/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.9 |
| quality rank | 2.5 |
| growth rank | 9.4 |
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
4.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 5.8 |
| support resistance | 6.3 |
| 52w position | 0.9 |
| gap | 4.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.6 |
| days to cover | 10.0 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| beta | 4.6 |
| debt equity | 9.5 |
- ▸High IV: 81%
Catalyst
4.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 5.6 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.9 |
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLDPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:5.5>=5.5
- ASYMMETRY:6.6>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:33d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:fwd=2.2x,ratio=0.12x
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
6.59
Upside
+82.4%
Downside
12.5%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRange Bound — RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeInst Constrain — Small cap ($0.5B) below institutional reach
SuitabilitySpeculative — Drawdown -45% (>40% off 52w high)
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:5.5>=5.5. Top dim: Value at 9.5; weakest: Catalyst at 4.1. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.5, Quality at 7.2, and Sentiment at 6.9; the weakest are Catalyst at 4.1, Technical at 4.2, and Peer rank at 4.5. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 6.59 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.