frontdoor (FTDR) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $1.93
- Estimate
- $1.77
- Surprise
- +9.3%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $645.0M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.7 → 5.8/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
frontdoor (FTDR) beat the $1.77 estimate with adjusted EPS of $1.93 — a clear 9.3% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.7/10) to Sell at 5.8/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates FTDR Sell at 5.9/10.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +9.3% surprise compares with a +24.0% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-04.
What supports the rating
- V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=8.0 in RISK_OFF)
- Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
What argues against it
- Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
- Leverage penalty (D/E 4.2): -1.5
- Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 4.2), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.07% of cap)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $73.95
- Price target
- $84.74
- Stop
- $70.91
- Upside to target
- +14.6%
- Reward-to-risk
- 2.3:1
The stock trades at 21.0× trailing but 14.9× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: RSI 29 — a level conventionally read as oversold; trading volume is running 1.7× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-24 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
FTDR at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Personal Services
- Market cap
- $5.32B
- P/E (fwd)
- 14.9
- P/E (ttm)
- 21.0
- 52-week range
- $48.47–$93.43
- Off 52-week high
- 20.8%
- RSI (14)
- 29
- Volume vs avg
- 1.70×
- Score today
- 5.9/10