Value
7.4/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 5.0 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Attractively valued
FDMT · Why this verdict
Why 4D Molecular Therapeutics (FDMT) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.1/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
2.1/10data confidence 86%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 5.0 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 4.2 |
| Piotroski F | 3.3 |
- ▸Cash-burning: FCF -79% of revenue
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Weak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9
- ▸Quality concerns
Growth
5.0/10data confidence 50%Momentum
7.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.9 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 2.6 |
- ▸Overbought (RSI 81)
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
8.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 7.5 |
| Analyst rating | 6.9 |
| Price target | 10.0 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.50 (n=1)
- ▸Light analyst coverage (9.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 117%
Insider
3.3/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 3.0 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸Notable insider selling — $1,337,829 (0.197% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.1/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 6.2 |
| quality rank | 2.5 |
| growth rank | 10.0 |
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
4.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 1.2 |
| support resistance | 1.8 |
| 52w position | 8.6 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
2.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 0.6 |
| days to cover | 0.0 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| beta | 1.0 |
| debt equity | 0.5 |
| news risk | 6.0 |
- ▸High short interest justified: 29%
- ▸High IV: 117%
Catalyst
5.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 0.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (6)
- MOMENTUM:7.1>=5.5
- ASYMMETRY:5.9>=1.5
- 8K:CLEAN
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:37d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (1)
- INSIDER:0.20%=MODERATE
Reward-to-Risk
5.92
Upside
+88.9%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
Setup— — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeInst Constrain — Small cap ($0.7B) below institutional reach
SuitabilitySpeculative — Binary industry: Biotechnology
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Sentiment at 8.0 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor.
The strongest dimensions are Sentiment at 8.0, Value at 7.4, and Momentum at 7.1; the weakest are Quality at 2.1, Risk (lower is worse) at 2.3, and Insider at 3.3. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 5.92 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.