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EFCEllington Financial Inc.Sell6.2·$13.40+0.37%

Ellington Financial (EFC) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+30.9% vs estimateEPS $0.60 vs $0.46 estCurrent verdict Sell 6.2/10

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
$0.60
Estimate
$0.46
Surprise
+30.9%
Score today
6.2/10

Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

Ellington Financial (EFC) beat the $0.46 estimate with diluted EPS of $0.60 — a large 30.9% upside surprise.

Current read · as of 2026-09-04

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates EFC Sell at 6.2/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.

3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +30.9% surprise compares with a +31.8% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-04.

What supports the rating

  • Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
  • Strong growth profile

What argues against it

  • Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
  • Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
  • Earnings estimates trending DOWN

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$13.40
Price target
$15.40
Stop
$13.09
Upside to target
+14.9%

The stock trades at 8.3× trailing but 6.8× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Real Estate context

EFC at TrendMatrix's latest read

REIT quarters hinge on occupancy, rate exposure, and FFO rather than headline EPS, which mechanically distorts under depreciation.

Industry
REIT - Mortgage
Market cap
$1.75B
P/E (fwd)
6.8
P/E (ttm)
8.3
52-week range
$11.28$14.12
Off 52-week high
5.1%
RSI (14)
46
Volume vs avg
0.10×
Score today
6.2/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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