Ellington Financial (EFC) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- $0.60
- Estimate
- $0.46
- Surprise
- +30.9%
- Score today
- 6.2/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
Ellington Financial (EFC) beat the $0.46 estimate with diluted EPS of $0.60 — a large 30.9% upside surprise.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates EFC Sell at 6.2/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +30.9% surprise compares with a +31.8% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-04.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
- Strong growth profile
What argues against it
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
- Earnings estimates trending DOWN
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $13.40
- Price target
- $15.40
- Stop
- $13.09
- Upside to target
- +14.9%
The stock trades at 8.3× trailing but 6.8× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
EFC at TrendMatrix's latest read
REIT quarters hinge on occupancy, rate exposure, and FFO rather than headline EPS, which mechanically distorts under depreciation.
- Industry
- REIT - Mortgage
- Market cap
- $1.75B
- P/E (fwd)
- 6.8
- P/E (ttm)
- 8.3
- 52-week range
- $11.28–$14.12
- Off 52-week high
- 5.1%
- RSI (14)
- 46
- Volume vs avg
- 0.10×
- Score today
- 6.2/10