Domino's Pizza (DPZ) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $4.60
- Estimate
- $4.39
- Surprise
- +4.8%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-06)
- $1.19B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.6 → 5.7/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat the $4.39 estimate with adjusted EPS of $4.60 — a clear 4.8% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.6/10) to Sell at 5.7/10 after the report.
Coverage in the report window
- Wells Fargo Maintains Equal-Weight on Domino's Pizza, Lowers Price Target to $320 — benzinga, 2026-10-14
- These Analysts Slash Their Forecasts On Domino’s Following Q3 Results — benzinga, 2026-10-14
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates DPZ Sell at 5.7/10.
1 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +4.8% surprise compares with a -0.4% four-quarter average.
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Supplier: single U.S. pizza cheese supplier
- Concentration risk — Supplier: Coca-Cola
- Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $296.10
- Price target
- $334.83
- Stop
- $278.04
- Upside to target
- +13.1%
- Reward-to-risk
- 2.1:1
At 16.3× trailing and 14.3× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.
Risk check: trading volume is running 2.3× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-14 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
DPZ at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Restaurants
- Market cap
- $9.80B
- P/E (fwd)
- 14.3
- P/E (ttm)
- 16.3
- 52-week range
- $282.00–$442.35
- Off 52-week high
- 33.1%
- RSI (14)
- 50
- Volume vs avg
- 2.34×
- Score today
- 5.7/10