Dollar Tree (DLTR) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $2.70
- Estimate
- $1.14
- Surprise
- +136.1%
- Revenue (period 2026-08-01)
- $4.89B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.2 → 5.4/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Dollar Tree (DLTR) beat the $1.14 estimate with adjusted EPS of $2.70 — a large 136.1% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.2/10) to Hold at 5.4/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates DLTR Sell at 6.0/10.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +136.1% surprise compares with a +40.5% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-12-02.
What supports the rating
- Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
- Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
What argues against it
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)
- Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $121.76
- Price target
- $121.85
- Stop
- $114.90
- Upside to target
- +0.1%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.0:1
At 14.2× trailing and 14.7× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-15 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
DLTR at TrendMatrix's latest read
Defensive staples are judged on margin resilience: pricing power against input costs matters more here than top-line drama.
- Industry
- Discount Stores
- Market cap
- $21.82B
- P/E (fwd)
- 14.7
- P/E (ttm)
- 14.2
- 52-week range
- $85.88–$142.40
- Off 52-week high
- 14.5%
- RSI (14)
- 68
- Volume vs avg
- 0.84×
- Score today
- 6.0/10