Diversified Energy (DEC) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.65
- Estimate
- $0.49
- Surprise
- +30.9%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $108.5M
- Score today
- 6.6/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Diversified Energy (DEC) beat the $0.49 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.65 — a large 30.9% upside surprise.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates DEC Hold at 6.6/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +30.9% surprise compares with a +2008.5% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
- Attractive valuation
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas (73.0%)
- Leverage penalty (D/E 3.1): -1.5
- Negative momentum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $13.33
- Price target
- $17.77
- Stop
- $12.86
- Upside to target
- +33.3%
- Reward-to-risk
- 5.3:1
The stock trades at 2.1× trailing but 1.8× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-05 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
DEC at TrendMatrix's latest read
Energy results are commodity-price arithmetic first; the operational beat or miss is read net of what the strip already told the market.
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Integrated
- Market cap
- $920.3M
- P/E (fwd)
- 1.8
- P/E (ttm)
- 2.1
- 52-week range
- $12.35–$18.90
- Off 52-week high
- 29.5%
- RSI (14)
- 33
- Volume vs avg
- 1.27×
- Score today
- 6.6/10