Skip to main content
CYDChina Yuchai International LimiSell6.0·$37.67-0.34%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

China Yuchai screens attractively on valuation — a forward P/E of 13.1x and a PEG below 0.5 — backed by exceptional free cash flow conversion and 23% revenue growth; the investment case is tempered by business quality sitting at its minimum acceptable threshold and only 5% upside to consensus in the near term.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Growth TrajectoryStable
  • Deep Value Low PegStable
  • Exceptional Free Cash ConversionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

China Yuchai International Limi (CYD) Stock Analysis

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.67: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 5.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.33; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

China Yuchai International Limited manufactures, assembles, and sells diesel and natural gas engines for trucks, buses, pickups, construction and agricultural equipment, and marine and power generation applications. It operates through two segments: Yuchai and HLGE. The Yuchai... Read more

$37.67+54.6% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#2 of 18 Auto Manufacturers
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.37%(5y avg 5.42%)Payout0.00%sustainable
Stop $35.21Target $58.22(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 5.1:1
Analyst target$68.50+81.8%4 analysts
$58.22our TP
$37.67price
$68.50mean
$81

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.67: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 5.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.33; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 173d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04

Recent Developments — China Yuchai International Limi

Generated 2026-09-04T11:17:33Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 24, 2027173d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.8
P/E (Fwd)9.5
Mkt Cap
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn2.8%
ROE
Rev Growth6.2%
Beta1.45
Dividend2.37%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.33bearish
IV68%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
1.5
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Obv
6.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
1.4
Operating Margin
2.7
Moat
4.9
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 5.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 173d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $36.30Resistance $50.46

Price Targets

$35
$58
A.Upside+54.6%
A.R:R5.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-24 (173d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CYD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.67: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 5.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.33; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $35.21. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CYD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $58.22 (+54.6% upside). Prior stop was $35.21. Stop-loss: $35.21.

What are the risks of investing in CYD?

Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is CYD overvalued or undervalued?

China Yuchai International Limi trades at a P/E of 12.8 (forward 9.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CYD?

8 analysts cover CYD with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $68.

What does China Yuchai International Limi do?China Yuchai International Limited manufactures, assembles, and sells diesel and natural gas engines for trucks, buses,...

China Yuchai International Limited manufactures, assembles, and sells diesel and natural gas engines for trucks, buses, pickups, construction and agricultural equipment, and marine and power generation applications. It operates through two segments: Yuchai and HLGE. The Yuchai segment manufactures on- and off-road powertrain solutions and applications. The HLGE is engaged in hospitality and property development activities. The company provides diesel engines comprising 4- and 6-cylinder diesel engines, high-horsepower marine and power generator engines; natural gas engines, hydrogen combustion engines, methanol combustion engines, diesel power generators, power generator sets, engine components and parts, diesel engine parts, and remanufacturing services; as well as plug in hybrid engines, range extenders, power generation powertrains, hybrid powertrains, electric drive axle powertrain, and fuel cell systems. It also offers repair, maintenance, training and skills-enhancement training. It distributes its engines directly to auto original equipment manufacturers, agents, and retailers in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company was founded in 1951 and is based in Singapore.

Home Stocks CYD

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga3d ago
Benzinga28d agoEarnings