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CXWCoreCivic, Inc.Sell5.3·$32.28

CoreCivic (CXW) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+11.8% vs estimateEPS $0.38 vs $0.34 estCurrent verdict Sell 5.3/10

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Adjusted EPS
$0.38
Estimate
$0.34
Surprise
+11.8%
Score today
5.3/10

Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

CoreCivic (CXW) beat the $0.34 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.38 — a large 11.8% upside surprise.

Current read · as of 2026-09-24

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates CXW Sell at 5.3/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.

3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +11.8% surprise compares with a +17.6% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-04.

What argues against it

  • Concentration risk — Customer: federal correctional, detention and residential reentry authorities (54.0%)
  • Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
  • Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$32.28
Price target
$36.37
Stop
$30.02
Upside to target
+12.7%
Reward-to-risk
1.3:1

The stock trades at 25.8× trailing but 13.3× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-24 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Industrials context

CXW at TrendMatrix's latest read

Industrial quarters are order-book stories — backlog and book-to-bill color how the market reads the reported number.

Industry
Security & Protection Services
Market cap
$3.11B
P/E (fwd)
13.3
P/E (ttm)
25.8
52-week range
$15.74–$36.55
Off 52-week high
11.7%
RSI (14)
49
Volume vs avg
0.90×
Score today
5.3/10

EPS and the estimate come from Yahoo Finance’s earnings calendar, captured around the report date. That EPS is the adjusted figure analysts forecast, so it can differ from the GAAP diluted EPS in the company’s filing, and consensus estimates vary between data providers. Revenue comes from SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise. Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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