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CWSTCasella Waste Systems, Inc.Sell5.2·$94.55

Casella Waste Systems (CWST) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

MISS-7.9% vs estimateEPS $0.35 vs $0.38 estCurrent verdict Sell 5.2/10

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy

Event detail · Q3 2026

Key numbers

Adjusted EPS
$0.35
Estimate
$0.38
Surprise
-7.9%
Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
$559.2M
Score today
5.2/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q3 2026

How the report landed

Casella Waste Systems (CWST) missed the $0.38 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.35 — a clear 7.9% shortfall.

Around the report

Coverage in the report window

  • Casella Waste Systems Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript — benzinga, 2026-11-10
  • BofA Securities Adjusts Price Target on Casella Waste Systems to $94 From $91 — fiscal.ai, 2026-11-10
  • Casella Waste Systems, Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results — fiscal.ai, 2026-11-09
Current read · as of 2026-11-10

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates CWST Sell at 5.2/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.

3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -7.9% surprise compares with a +31.6% four-quarter average.

What argues against it

  • Target reached (-2.0% upside)
  • Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)
  • Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$94.55
Stop
$87.93

The stock trades at 1100.2× trailing but 69.5× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-10 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Industrials context

CWST at TrendMatrix's latest read

Industrial quarters are order-book stories — backlog and book-to-bill color how the market reads the reported number.

Industry
Waste Management
Market cap
$6.30B
P/E (fwd)
69.5
P/E (ttm)
1100.2
52-week range
$74.05–$107.96
Off 52-week high
12.4%
RSI (14)
56
Volume vs avg
0.54×
Score today
5.2/10

EPS and the estimate come from Yahoo Finance’s earnings calendar, captured around the report date. That EPS is the adjusted figure analysts forecast, so it can differ from the GAAP diluted EPS in the company’s filing, and consensus estimates vary between data providers. Revenue comes from SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise. Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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