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CRHCRH PLCHold5.5·$111.14+4.38%
CRH · Why this verdict

Why CRH (CRH) is rated HOLD

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.5/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

6.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E6.6
P/S9.1
EV/EBITDA4.8
Fwd P/E7.7
PEG4.5
Analyst target7.5
  • Forward P/E: 15.9x
  • PEG: 2.02

Quality

4.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE5.3
ROA4.0
Gross margin3.2
Op margin0.0
Net margin4.8
Current ratio5.8
FCF quality1.7
Moat5.5
Piotroski F8.9
  • Earnings quality RED FLAG: 21% FCF/NI
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Growth

4.8/10data confidence 33%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth4.8

Momentum

6.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI3.6
MACD10.0
OBV10.0
MA position7.2
Volume0.0
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Sentiment

7.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating9.0
Price target8.5
erm sentiment5.4
  • Analyst upside: 28%

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.1
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

5.2/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank6.3
quality rank4.6
growth rank5.0

Technical

3.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger0.0
support resistance1.6
52w position7.0
gap4.0

Risk (lower is worse)

6.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest8.9
days to cover8.5
volatility4.2
put call4.7
implied vol5.4
beta6.3
debt equity6.0

Catalyst

5.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history6.7
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg3.5
dividend safety5.2
  • Strong earnings: 3B/1M
  • Dividend: 147.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Mixed signals. Hold existing position.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_HOLD_DEFAULT
Passed (7)
  • MOMENTUM:6.2>=5.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:44d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
  • ASYMMETRY:1.3<1.5@spot
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
1.31
Upside
+15.6%
Downside
11.9%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRECOVERY Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

The default F-path HOLD fired without any positive-conviction gate triggering — no momentum acceleration, no quality+value crossover, no setup recognition. Highest-clear gate: MOMENTUM:6.2>=5.5. Top dim: Sentiment at 7.9; weakest: Technical at 3.1. The engine's read is one of pattern absence — no directional conviction in either direction at current asymmetry.

The strongest dimensions are Sentiment at 7.9, Value at 6.7, and Risk (lower is worse) at 6.3; the weakest are Technical at 3.1, Quality at 4.4, and Growth at 4.8. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.31 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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