Coherent (COHR) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $2.09
- Estimate
- $1.97
- Surprise
- +6.0%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $2.37B
- Score today
- 6.0/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Coherent (COHR) beat the $1.97 estimate with adjusted EPS of $2.09 — a clear 6.0% upside surprise.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates COHR Sell at 6.0/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +6.0% surprise compares with a +5.4% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
- Strong growth profile
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source or limited-source suppliers of exotic materials, crystals, optics
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)
- Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $195.09
- Price target
- $349.02
- Stop
- $181.55
- Upside to target
- +78.9%
- Reward-to-risk
- 5.3:1
The stock trades at 40.4× trailing but 14.0× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-05 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
COHR at TrendMatrix's latest read
Technology names get repriced on forward expectations more than trailing prints — a quarter here is read through next-year growth and multiple, not the EPS line alone.
- Industry
- Scientific & Technical Instruments
- Market cap
- $38.42B
- P/E (fwd)
- 14.0
- P/E (ttm)
- 40.4
- 52-week range
- $126.00–$440.00
- Off 52-week high
- 55.7%
- RSI (14)
- 31
- Volume vs avg
- 1.47×
- Score today
- 6.0/10