Capital One Financial Corporati (COF) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $6.69
- Estimate
- $5.50
- Surprise
- +21.6%
- Score at report (before → after)
- 6.1 → 6.0/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
Capital One Financial Corporati (COF) beat the $5.50 estimate with adjusted EPS of $6.69 — a large 21.6% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (6.1/10) to Sell at 6.0/10 after the report — the engine's score fell despite the beat.
Coverage in the report window
- Analysts Adjust Price Targets for Capital One Following Q3 2026 Earnings — fiscal.ai, 2026-10-21
- Capital One CEO Says AI Will Change Banking Forever — benzinga, 2026-10-21
- Stock Market Today: S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Futures Gains as Iran Prolongs US Talks Ahead of Midterms — NFLX, SPCX, SMCI in — benzinga, 2026-10-21
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates COF Sell at 6.0/10.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +21.6% surprise compares with a +8.8% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
- Attractive valuation
What argues against it
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
- Consecutive earnings misses (2)
- Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $201.56
- Price target
- $225.86
- Stop
- $192.46
- Upside to target
- +12.1%
- Reward-to-risk
- 2.1:1
The stock trades at 12.9× trailing but 8.4× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-21 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
COF at TrendMatrix's latest read
For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.
- Industry
- Credit Services
- Market cap
- $123.66B
- P/E (fwd)
- 8.4
- P/E (ttm)
- 12.9
- 52-week range
- $174.24–$259.64
- Off 52-week high
- 22.4%
- RSI (14)
- 66
- Volume vs avg
- 1.21×
- Score today
- 6.0/10