Commercial Metals trades at an attractive forward multiple of 11.1x with 22% year-over-year earnings growth, but a mixed earnings track record with the most recent quarter a miss, a deeply unfavorable risk/reward geometry with only 1.7% of room to the near-term ceiling, and earnings results due in nine days create a cautious hold posture.
Thesis pillars
- Attractive Valuation With Growth→Stable
- Inconsistent Earnings Execution→Stable
- Weak Free Cash Flow Conversion→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Commercial Metals Company (CMC) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Industrials · Metal Fabrication
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $69.08 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5).
Founded in 1915 as a single scrap yard in Dallas, Texas, CMC has become an innovative solutions provider helping build a stronger, safer and more sustainable world. Today, through an extensive manufacturing network principally located in the United States ("U.S.") and Central... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $69.08 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5). Chart setup: RSI 40 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 40d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-04Recent Developments — Commercial Metals Company
Latest news
- NEWS Commercial Metals Keeps Quarterly Dividend at $0.20 a Share, Payable July 15 to Holders of Record July 6 - marketscreene — marketscreener.com neutral
- NEWS CMC declares $0.20 quarterly dividend, 247th consecutive - Investing.com — Investing.com positive
- NEWS CMC declares $0.20 quarterly dividend, 247th consecutive By Investing.com - Investing.com Canada — Investing.com Canada positive
- NEWS Commercial Metals Co (CMC) Dividends & Stock Splits: Historical Payouts and Event Timeline - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS CMC Markets releases annual report, sets July AGM date By Investing.com - Investing.com Nigeria — Investing.com Nigeria neutral
Generated 2026-09-04T15:02:10Z.
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Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $69.08 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5). Chart setup: RSI 40 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $64.27. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $70.94 (+2.7% upside). Prior stop was $64.27. Stop-loss: $64.27.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Commercial Metals Company trades at a P/E of 13.0 (forward 9.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
18 analysts cover CMC with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $82.
What does Commercial Metals Company do?Founded in 1915 as a single scrap yard in Dallas, Texas, CMC has become an innovative solutions provider helping build...
Founded in 1915 as a single scrap yard in Dallas, Texas, CMC has become an innovative solutions provider helping build a stronger, safer and more sustainable world. Today, through an extensive manufacturing network principally located in the United States ("U.S.") and Central Europe, we offer products and technologies to meet the critical reinforcement needs of the global construction sector.