Value
8.7/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 8.3 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Attractively valued
CERS · Why this verdict
Why Cerus (CERS) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score6.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
3.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 0.0 |
| Gross margin | 6.6 |
| Op margin | 0.0 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 5.9 |
| FCF quality | 3.2 |
| Moat | 5.8 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 1%, FCF yield 0.4%)
Growth
8.5/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 8.5 |
- ▸Strong growth: 24% YoY
Momentum
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.3 |
| MACD | 7.4 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 4.2 |
- ▸Overbought (RSI 74)
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
7.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 9.5 |
| erm sentiment | 7.2 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 48%
- ▸Estimates rising as sentiment proxy (+5.6%)
Insider
3.9/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 4.5 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.2 |
- ▸Modest insider selling — $153,182 (0.024% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.1/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.6 |
| quality rank | 3.5 |
| growth rank | 7.3 |
Technical
3.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 0.0 |
| support resistance | 0.6 |
| 52w position | 9.7 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 4.9 |
| days to cover | 2.2 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 6.1 |
| beta | 4.1 |
| debt equity | 4.1 |
Catalyst
7.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 8.5 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 5.2 |
- ▸Estimates up 5.6% (30d)
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (8)
- MOMENTUM:7.0>=5.5
- ASYMMETRY:1.7>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:31d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
1.70
Upside
+25.5%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
Setup— — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeInst Constrain — Small cap ($0.6B) below institutional reach
SuitabilityAggressive — Beta 1.77>1.3, MCap $0.6B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 8.7 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 8.7, Growth at 8.5, and Catalyst at 7.2; the weakest are Quality at 3.1, Risk (lower is worse) at 3.6, and Technical at 3.8. The V9 engine cleared all gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.70 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.