CAVA Group (CAVA) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.19
- Estimate
- $0.19
- Surprise
- +1.5%
- Revenue (period 2026-07-12)
- $368.4M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 6.1 → 5.6/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
CAVA Group (CAVA) reported adjusted EPS of $0.19, in line with the $0.19 estimate. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Hold (6.1/10) to Buy (Wait) at 5.6/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates CAVA Sell at 5.4/10.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +1.5% surprise compares with a +22.9% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-10.
What supports the rating
- Strong growth profile
- Analyst upside: 46%
What argues against it
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3)
- Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
- Negative momentum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $51.42
- Price target
- $75.30
- Stop
- $48.65
- Upside to target
- +46.4%
- Reward-to-risk
- 5.9:1
The stock trades at 96.3× trailing but 71.0× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-14 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
CAVA at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Restaurants
- Market cap
- $6.19B
- P/E (fwd)
- 71.0
- P/E (ttm)
- 96.3
- 52-week range
- $43.41–$98.79
- Off 52-week high
- 47.9%
- RSI (14)
- 42
- Volume vs avg
- 0.33×
- Score today
- 5.4/10