BorgWarner (BWA) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $1.39
- Estimate
- $1.25
- Surprise
- +11.1%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $3.49B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.5 → 5.9/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
BorgWarner (BWA) beat the $1.25 estimate with adjusted EPS of $1.39 — a large 11.1% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.5/10) to Sell at 5.9/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates BWA Sell at 5.9/10.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +11.1% surprise compares with a +10.6% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
- Attractive valuation
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (71.0%)
- Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (84.0%)
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $53.30
- Price target
- $73.14
- Stop
- $49.83
- Upside to target
- +37.2%
- Reward-to-risk
- 5.2:1
The stock trades at 26.6× trailing but 9.0× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: RSI 17 — a level conventionally read as oversold; trading volume is running 2.0× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-30 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
BWA at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Auto Parts
- Market cap
- $10.86B
- P/E (fwd)
- 9.0
- P/E (ttm)
- 26.6
- 52-week range
- $40.73–$78.82
- Off 52-week high
- 32.4%
- RSI (14)
- 17
- Volume vs avg
- 2.03×
- Score today
- 5.9/10