Value
10.0/10data confidence 20%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 10.0 |
- ▸Attractively valued
BSTZ · Why this verdict
Why BlackRock Science and Technolog (BSTZ) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.5/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
TrendMatrix Research · core thesis
Engine thesis — one sentence
BlackRock Science and Technology Trust is a small closed-end fund with a 7.2% distribution and an attractive valuation versus peers, but it has no earnings data, a 0/9 Piotroski score and quality below the 4.0 floor, so the case rests on income and a pullback within an uptrend.
Falsifiable statement — pillar-level invalidators below. Engine-derived; not personalized advice.
Thesis pillars
| Pillar | Expectation | Trend |
|---|---|---|
BSTZ is attractively valued, with a P/E component of 10.0 out of 10 and a peer value rank of 9.9 out of 10. Valuation breakdown | Value rank versus peers stays above 8 over 12 months. | →Stable |
| CounterFund-level P/E is a weak valuation signal, and quality is scored 0.9, so cheapness may reflect missing or unreliable data. | ||
A 7.2% distribution gives income support, with dividend safety scored 5.5 out of 10. Catalyst breakdown | Distribution is maintained at or above the current 7.2% yield over 12 months. | →Stable |
| CounterFor a leveraged technology fund, the distribution may be partly return of capital and could be cut if the net asset value falls. | ||
The chart reads as an uptrend pullback with RSI near 32, price above the 200-day average and a 13.2% move to resistance at $30.61. Momentum breakdown | Price rebounds toward $30.61 while holding above the $25.78 stop level. | →Stable |
| CounterFalling OBV shows volume distribution, and the upside is described as exhausted at current levels. | ||
The Piotroski F-Score is 0/9 and the quality score is 0.9, below the 4.0 floor, so there is no fundamental quality support behind the price. Quality breakdown | Quality score rises above 4.0 once fund-level data is populated. | →Stable |
| CounterOperating-company quality tests such as margins and Piotroski do not apply well to a closed-end fund, so the weak score may be an artifact. | ||
BSTZ is attractively valued, with a P/E component of 10.0 out of 10 and a peer value rank of 9.9 out of 10.
→StableValuation breakdown
- Expectation
- Value rank versus peers stays above 8 over 12 months.
CounterFund-level P/E is a weak valuation signal, and quality is scored 0.9, so cheapness may reflect missing or unreliable data.
A 7.2% distribution gives income support, with dividend safety scored 5.5 out of 10.
→StableCatalyst breakdown
- Expectation
- Distribution is maintained at or above the current 7.2% yield over 12 months.
CounterFor a leveraged technology fund, the distribution may be partly return of capital and could be cut if the net asset value falls.
The chart reads as an uptrend pullback with RSI near 32, price above the 200-day average and a 13.2% move to resistance at $30.61.
→StableMomentum breakdown
- Expectation
- Price rebounds toward $30.61 while holding above the $25.78 stop level.
CounterFalling OBV shows volume distribution, and the upside is described as exhausted at current levels.
The Piotroski F-Score is 0/9 and the quality score is 0.9, below the 4.0 floor, so there is no fundamental quality support behind the price.
→StableQuality breakdown
- Expectation
- Quality score rises above 4.0 once fund-level data is populated.
CounterOperating-company quality tests such as margins and Piotroski do not apply well to a closed-end fund, so the weak score may be an artifact.
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
0.9/10data confidence 71%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Gross margin | 0.0 |
| Op margin | 0.0 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Moat | 4.5 |
| Piotroski F | 0.0 |
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Weak Piotroski F-Score: 0/9
- ▸Quality concerns
Growth
5.0/10data confidence 50%Momentum
2.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 7.9 |
| MACD | 1.2 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Uptrend pullback (RSI 36) - buy opportunity
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
5.0/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
Insider
6.6/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 7.9 |
| notable moves | 7.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
- ▸Institutions accumulating
Peer rank
6.2/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 9.9 |
| quality rank | 5.0 |
| growth rank | 5.0 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
Technical
8.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 8.4 |
| support resistance | 9.4 |
| 52w position | 6.7 |
Risk (lower is worse)
8.3/10data confidence 60%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 10.0 |
| days to cover | 10.0 |
| volatility | 4.8 |
Catalyst
5.5/10data confidence 25%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| dividend safety | 5.5 |
- ▸Dividend: 7.4%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCK:QUALITY_FLOORPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:NO_DATE
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- MOMENTUM:2.8<4.5
Warning (1)
- ASYMMETRY:UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)
Reward-to-Risk
0.00
Upside
+16.0%
Downside
6.1%
Sizing output
AVOID
Setup— — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeInst Constrain — Small cap ($1.8B) below institutional reach
SuitabilityAggressive — MCap $1.8B<$5B
Investment implication
The SELL_IF_HOLDING verdict reflects the MOMENTUM gate's 2.8<4.5 outcome against Value at 10.0 and asymmetric R:R of 0.00.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 10.0, Risk (lower is worse) at 8.3, and Technical at 8.2; the weakest are Quality at 0.9, Momentum at 2.8, and Sentiment at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.00 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.
What would invalidate the thesis
Falsifying conditions — when triggered, the corresponding pillar's thesis is invalidated.
- P1Attractive Peer Valuation
Trip ifPeer value rank falls below 6 out of 10 from the current 9.9.
- P2High Distribution Yield
Trip ifDistribution yield drops to less than 5% from the current 7.2%.
- P3Uptrend Pullback Entry
Trip ifShare price falls below $25.78, the stop level, from the current $27.05.
- P4Weak Quality Fundamentals
Trip ifQuality score stays below 1.0 for 2 consecutive refreshes from the current 0.9.