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BRSPBrightSpire Capital, Inc.Sell5.1·$3.72

BrightSpire Capital (BRSP) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

IN LINE+3.7% vs estimateEPS $0.14 vs $0.14 estVerdict Buy (Wait) → Sell

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy

Event detail · Q3 2026

Key numbers

Adjusted EPS
$0.14
Estimate
$0.14
Surprise
+3.7%
Score at report (before → after)
4.9 → 5.1/10

Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.

Report record · Q3 2026

How the report landed

BrightSpire Capital (BRSP) reported adjusted EPS of $0.14, in line with the $0.14 estimate. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (4.9/10) to Sell at 5.1/10 after the report.

Around the report

Coverage in the report window

  • BrightSpire Capital, Inc. Announces Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results — fiscal.ai, 2026-10-27
  • BrightSpire Capital Q3 Adj. EPS $0.14, Inline, Sales $49.450M Beat $17.475M Estimate — benzinga, 2026-10-27
Current read · as of 2026-10-28

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates BRSP Sell at 5.1/10.

0 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +3.7% surprise compares with a -7.3% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2027-02-16.

What supports the rating

  • Attractive valuation
  • Analyst upside: 40%

What argues against it

  • V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0)
  • Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
  • Consecutive earnings misses (3)

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$3.72
Price target
$5.19
Stop
$3.48
Upside to target
+39.5%
Reward-to-risk
6.0:1

Risk check: trading volume is running 2.4× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-28 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Real Estate context

BRSP at TrendMatrix's latest read

REIT quarters hinge on occupancy, rate exposure, and FFO rather than headline EPS, which mechanically distorts under depreciation.

Industry
REIT - Mortgage
Market cap
$470.7M
P/E (fwd)
5.8
52-week range
$3.56–$6.17
Off 52-week high
39.7%
RSI (14)
46
Volume vs avg
2.44×
Score today
5.1/10

EPS and the estimate come from Yahoo Finance’s earnings calendar, captured around the report date. That EPS is the adjusted figure analysts forecast, so it can differ from the GAAP diluted EPS in the company’s filing, and consensus estimates vary between data providers. Revenue comes from SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise. Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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