Bowhead Specialty Holdings (BOW) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- $0.48
- Estimate
- $0.47
- Surprise
- +1.8%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $163.9M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 6.1 → 6.5/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Bowhead Specialty Holdings (BOW) beat the $0.47 estimate with diluted EPS of $0.48 — a modest 1.8% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Hold (6.1/10) to Buy (Wait) at 6.5/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates BOW Hold at 6.2/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +1.8% surprise compares with a +7.6% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-03.
What supports the rating
- Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Counterparty: AmFam (100.0%)
- Concentration risk — Customer: four brokers (70.3%)
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $33.69
- Price target
- $38.74
- Stop
- $33.47
- Upside to target
- +15.0%
The stock trades at 18.2× trailing but 13.8× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-17 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
BOW at TrendMatrix's latest read
For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.
- Industry
- Insurance - Property & Casualty
- Market cap
- $1.11B
- P/E (fwd)
- 13.8
- P/E (ttm)
- 18.2
- 52-week range
- $21.21–$35.07
- Off 52-week high
- 3.9%
- RSI (14)
- 60
- Volume vs avg
- 0.77×
- Score today
- 6.2/10