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BLMNBloomin' Brands, Inc.Sell5.2·$9.75

Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT · SMALLER LOSS+28.5% vs estimateEPS -$0.17 vs -$0.24 estCurrent verdict Sell 5.2/10

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy

Event detail · Q3 2026

Key numbers

Adjusted EPS
-$0.17
Estimate
-$0.24
Surprise
+28.5%
Revenue (period 2026-09-27)
$944.3M
Score today
5.2/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q3 2026

How the report landed

Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) reported a narrower loss than forecast — adjusted EPS of -$0.17 against the -$0.24 estimate (a 28.5% beat on a still-unprofitable quarter).

Around the report

Coverage in the report window

  • Deal Dispatch: Salesforce Buys Cresta, CrowdStrike Acquires Two AI Companies, Out West Restaurant Group Bankruptcy — benzinga, 2026-11-06
  • Bloomin Brands Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript — benzinga, 2026-11-06
  • Bloomin' Brands Announces 2026 Q3 Financial Results — fiscal.ai, 2026-11-06
Current read · as of 2026-11-07

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates BLMN Sell at 5.2/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.

4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +28.5% surprise compares with a +22.1% four-quarter average.

What argues against it

  • Concentration risk — Supplier: four beef suppliers (80.0%)
  • Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
  • Reward/Risk 0.5:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$9.75
Price target
$10.49
Stop
$9.07
Upside to target
+7.6%
Reward-to-risk
0.5:1

The stock trades at 11.5× trailing but 9.0× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-07 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Consumer Cyclical context

BLMN at TrendMatrix's latest read

Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.

Industry
Restaurants
Market cap
$834.8M
P/E (fwd)
9.0
P/E (ttm)
11.5
52-week range
$5.19–$12.63
Off 52-week high
22.8%
RSI (14)
49
Volume vs avg
1.03×
Score today
5.2/10

EPS and the estimate come from Yahoo Finance’s earnings calendar, captured around the report date. That EPS is the adjusted figure analysts forecast, so it can differ from the GAAP diluted EPS in the company’s filing, and consensus estimates vary between data providers. Revenue comes from SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise. Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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