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BKSYBlackSky Technology Inc.Sell3.7·$27.88-2.99%
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BlackSky Technology Inc. (BKSY) Stock Analysis

SellHigh Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.88: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10 and A.R:R 1.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality.

BlackSky Technology Inc. operates as a space-based technology company in the United States and internationally. The company offers space-based intelligence and artificial intelligence (AI) services, mission solutions, and advanced technology programs consisting of cloud... Read more

$27.88+26.4% A.UpsideScore 3.7/10#29 of 29 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-5.49%
Stop $25.93Target $35.23(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$40.50+45.3%7 analysts
$35.23our TP
$27.88price
$40.50mean
$50

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.88: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10 and A.R:R 1.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 3.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-51.2
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA-48.5
Profit Mgn-89.1%
ROE-102.7%
Rev Growth-29.7%
Beta2.59
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.56bullish
IV112%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -29.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -30%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
0.3
Growth Rank
0.3

Unprofitable operations — net margin -89.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.0
Current Ratio
9.5
Gross Margin
9.9
Cash-burning: FCF -58% of revenueNo competitive moatRule of 40: -88 (fail)Weak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns
GatesMomentum 6.1>=5.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.63Resistance $40.50

Price Targets

$26
$35
A.Upside+26.4%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BKSY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.88: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10 and A.R:R 1.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $25.93. Score 3.7/10, high confidence.

What is the BKSY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.23 (+26.4% upside). Prior stop was $25.93. Stop-loss: $25.93.

What are the risks of investing in BKSY?

Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0).

Is BKSY overvalued or undervalued?

BlackSky Technology Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -51.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BKSY?

13 analysts cover BKSY with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $41.

What does BlackSky Technology Inc. do?BlackSky Technology Inc. operates as a space-based technology company in the United States and internationally. The...

BlackSky Technology Inc. operates as a space-based technology company in the United States and internationally. The company offers space-based intelligence and artificial intelligence (AI) services, mission solutions, and advanced technology programs consisting of cloud computing and hosting services, direct materials to build and test specific components, and internal labor for service solutions that enhance customer adoption and operational integration of the company's technology. It also provides BlackSky Spectra, an AI-enabled software platform that processes a range of observations by integrating data from the company's proprietary satellite constellation and from other third-party sensors, such as synthetic aperture radar and radio frequency satellites, GPS-enabled terrestrial data sources, and Internet of Things-connected devices. In addition, the company offers a range of services related to object, change and anomaly detection, site monitoring, and enhanced analytics, which help detect key pattern of life changes in critical locations, including ports, airports, and construction sites; retail activity; commodities stockpiles; and other sites that contain critical commodities and supply chain inventory. Further, it develops and delivers customized advanced satellites and payload systems. The company's products and services are used in national security, supply chain resilience, economic intelligence, and other critical decision-making requirements. It serves the United States federal government and its agencies; international governments, agencies, and organizations; and the commercial and industrial infrastructure markets, including energy and utilities, insurance, commodities, mining, manufacturing, logistics, supply chain management, agriculture, environmental monitoring, disaster and risk management, engineering and construction, retail, and consumer behavior. BlackSky Technology Inc. was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Herndon, Virginia.

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