Value
5.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 2.3 |
| P/S | 7.4 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 6.7 |
| PEG | 4.9 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 19.0x
- ▸PEG: 1.64
BELFB · Why this verdict
Why Bel Fuse (BELFB) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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VerdictSELL
Overall score6.1/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 4.0 |
| ROA | 4.9 |
| Gross margin | 4.0 |
| Op margin | 7.6 |
| Net margin | 3.7 |
| Current ratio | 8.6 |
| FCF quality | 7.3 |
| Moat | 7.6 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9
Growth
5.5/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 8.3 |
| EPS growth | 2.7 |
- ▸Strong growth: 23% YoY
Momentum
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 5.6 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
7.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 8.0 |
| Price target | 9.6 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (9.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 53%
Insider
7.3/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 10.0 |
| notable moves | 7.0 |
- ▸Insider selling (low materiality) — $476,949 (0.014% of mkt cap)
- ▸Institutions accumulating
Peer rank
4.9/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 1.7 |
| quality rank | 4.8 |
| growth rank | 5.2 |
Technical
5.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 6.2 |
| support resistance | 5.9 |
| 52w position | 3.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 6.0 |
| days to cover | 5.0 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 7.3 |
| implied vol | 2.4 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 5.3 |
| debt equity | 9.9 |
- ▸High IV: 66%
- ▸Above max pain $180
- ▸Concentration risks: 2 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
7.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| dividend safety | 6.8 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:6.5>=5.5
- ASYMMETRY:2.5>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:104d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
2.52
Upside
+32.9%
Downside
13.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRange Bound — RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeNo clear edge — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAggressive — Beta 1.42>1.3, MCap $3.4B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 5.3 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Sentiment at 7.7) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Current asymmetry R:R is 2.52 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Sentiment at 7.7, Catalyst at 7.4, and Insider at 7.3; the weakest are Risk (lower is worse) at 4.9, Peer rank at 4.9, and Technical at 5.0. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.52 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.