Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- $8.52
- Estimate
- $10.82
- Surprise
- -21.3%
- Score today
- 5.1/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) missed the $10.82 estimate with diluted EPS of $8.52 — a large 21.3% shortfall.
Coverage in the report window
- These Analysts Revise Their Forecasts On Alibaba After Q1 Earnings — benzinga, 2026-08-21
- JP Morgan Maintains Overweight on Alibaba Gr Hldgs, Raises Price Target to $210 — benzinga, 2026-08-21
- Alibaba Stock Falls 7% on Profit Miss, but Analyst Stays Bullish on AI Cloud — benzinga, 2026-08-21
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates BABA Sell at 5.1/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
0 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -21.3% surprise compares with a -42.5% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-24.
What argues against it
- Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
- Momentum score 2.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
- Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $115.90
- Price target
- $171.77
- Stop
- $111.64
- Upside to target
- +48.2%
- Reward-to-risk
- 6.3:1
The stock trades at 27.0× trailing but 12.9× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-08-28 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
BABA at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Internet Retail
- Market cap
- $297.85B
- P/E (fwd)
- 12.9
- P/E (ttm)
- 27.0
- 52-week range
- $91.99–$192.67
- Off 52-week high
- 39.8%
- RSI (14)
- 35
- Volume vs avg
- 1.07×
- Score today
- 5.1/10