Value
7.0/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 4.0 |
| P/S | 3.6 |
| EV/EBITDA | 1.3 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.5 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 8.5x
- ▸PEG: 0.02
- ▸Attractively valued
AYA · Why this verdict
Why Aya Gold & Silver (AYA) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.7/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
8.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 8.0 |
| ROA | 10.0 |
| Gross margin | 7.0 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 7.7 |
| FCF quality | 3.5 |
| Moat | 9.0 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong margins: 30%
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: 44% FCF/NI
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
Growth
5.0/10data confidence 50%Momentum
6.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 7.4 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 6.5 |
| Volume | 2.7 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
Sentiment
5.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%Peer rank
3.9/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 1.0 |
| quality rank | 7.0 |
| growth rank | 7.5 |
Technical
5.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 3.4 |
| support resistance | 3.9 |
| 52w position | 7.8 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| days to cover | 0.0 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 5.6 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| beta | 4.4 |
| debt equity | 9.1 |
- ▸High IV: 90%
Catalyst
5.0/10data confidence 25%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLDPassed (6)
- MOMENTUM:6.2>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:NO_DATE
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:fwd=8.5x,ratio=0.26x
Warning (1)
- ASYMMETRY:UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)
Reward-to-Risk
0.00
Upside
+0.0%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRange Bound — RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeNo clear edge — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAggressive — Beta 1.69>1.3, MCap $2.8B<$5B
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:6.2>=5.5. Top dim: Quality at 8.4; weakest: Risk (lower is worse) at 3.2. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Quality at 8.4, Value at 7.0, and Momentum at 6.2; the weakest are Risk (lower is worse) at 3.2, Peer rank at 3.9, and Catalyst at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.00 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.