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AXTIAXT IncSell5.7·$58.54+2.79%

AXT (AXTI) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+163.9% vs estimateEPS $0.19 vs $0.07 estVerdict SellBuy (Wait)

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
$0.19
Estimate
$0.07
Surprise
+163.9%
Score at report (before → after)
5.26.3/10

Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

AXT (AXTI) beat the $0.07 estimate with diluted EPS of $0.19 — a large 163.9% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Sell (5.2/10) to Buy (Wait) at 6.3/10 after the report.

Current read · as of 2026-09-04

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates AXTI Sell at 5.7/10.

3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +163.9% surprise compares with a +82.6% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-10-29.

What argues against it

  • Concentration risk — Geographic: China
  • Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
  • Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$58.54
Price target
$79.69
Stop
$52.27
Upside to target
+36.1%
Reward-to-risk
2.8:1

The stock trades at 1898.3× trailing but 25.6× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Technology context

AXTI at TrendMatrix's latest read

Technology names get repriced on forward expectations more than trailing prints — a quarter here is read through next-year growth and multiple, not the EPS line alone.

Industry
Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Market cap
$3.73B
P/E (fwd)
25.6
P/E (ttm)
1898.3
52-week range
$2.91$143.16
Off 52-week high
59.1%
RSI (14)
31
Volume vs avg
0.73×
Score today
5.7/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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