AXT (AXTI) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.19
- Estimate
- $0.07
- Surprise
- +163.9%
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.2 → 6.3/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
AXT (AXTI) beat the $0.07 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.19 — a large 163.9% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Sell (5.2/10) to Buy (Wait) at 6.3/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates AXTI Sell at 5.7/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +163.9% surprise compares with a +82.6% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-10-29.
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Geographic: China
- Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
- Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $64.81
- Price target
- $79.69
- Stop
- $60.27
- Upside to target
- +23.0%
- Reward-to-risk
- 1.5:1
The stock trades at 1615.8× trailing but 28.7× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-14 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
AXTI at TrendMatrix's latest read
Technology names get repriced on forward expectations more than trailing prints — a quarter here is read through next-year growth and multiple, not the EPS line alone.
- Industry
- Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
- Market cap
- $4.24B
- P/E (fwd)
- 28.7
- P/E (ttm)
- 1615.8
- 52-week range
- $4.35–$143.16
- Off 52-week high
- 54.7%
- RSI (14)
- 39
- Volume vs avg
- 0.35×
- Score today
- 5.7/10