Aveanna Healthcare Holdings (AVAH) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.23
- Estimate
- $0.21
- Surprise
- +10.9%
- Revenue (period 2026-10-03)
- $695.5M
- Score today
- 6.5/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings (AVAH) beat the $0.21 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.23 — a large 10.9% upside surprise.
Coverage in the report window
- Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc. Announces Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Revised Guidance — fiscal.ai, 2026-11-12
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates AVAH Sell at 6.5/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +10.9% surprise compares with a +20.5% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
- Attractive valuation
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Customer: Medicare, Medicaid and private health insurance payers
- Thin upside margin: 7.3%
- Leverage penalty (D/E 5.2): -1.5
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $12.24
- Price target
- $13.14
- Stop
- $11.79
- Upside to target
- +7.4%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.7:1
Forward estimates sit below the trailing run-rate (13.5× forward vs 9.7× trailing) — consensus expects earnings to decline from here.
Risk check: trading volume is running 2.2× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-13 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
AVAH at TrendMatrix's latest read
Healthcare earnings trade on pipeline and payer dynamics as much as the quarter itself; a beat or miss is weighed against trial and reimbursement news.
- Industry
- Medical Care Facilities
- Market cap
- $2.67B
- P/E (fwd)
- 13.5
- P/E (ttm)
- 9.7
- 52-week range
- $5.93–$14.71
- Off 52-week high
- 16.8%
- RSI (14)
- 37
- Volume vs avg
- 2.20×
- Score today
- 6.5/10