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ATIATI Inc.Sell5.6·$202.68+0.49%

ATI (ATI) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+18.3% vs estimateEPS $1.23 vs $1.04 estVerdict Buy (Wait)Sell

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
$1.23
Estimate
$1.04
Surprise
+18.3%
Revenue (period 2026-06-28)
$1.26B
Score at report (before → after)
5.15.4/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

ATI (ATI) beat the $1.04 estimate with diluted EPS of $1.23 — a large 18.3% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.1/10) to Sell at 5.4/10 after the report.

Current read · as of 2026-09-04

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates ATI Sell at 5.6/10.

4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +18.3% surprise compares with a +13.7% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-10-27.

What supports the rating

  • Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
  • Strong growth profile

What argues against it

  • Concentration risk — Customer: aerospace & defense end markets (68.0%)
  • Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
  • Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$202.68
Price target
$226.10
Stop
$192.51
Upside to target
+11.6%
Reward-to-risk
1.5:1

The stock trades at 59.1× trailing but 32.1× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Risk check: RSI 29 — a level conventionally read as oversold.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Industrials context

ATI at TrendMatrix's latest read

Industrial quarters are order-book stories — backlog and book-to-bill color how the market reads the reported number.

Industry
Metal Fabrication
Market cap
$27.85B
P/E (fwd)
32.1
P/E (ttm)
59.1
52-week range
$74.45$243.57
Off 52-week high
16.8%
RSI (14)
29
Volume vs avg
0.87×
Score today
5.6/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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