Aspen Aerogels (ASPN) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.11
- Estimate
- -$0.07
- Surprise
- +266.7%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $85.2M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 4.2 → 4.6/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Aspen Aerogels (ASPN) beat the -$0.07 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.11 — a large 266.7% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Hold (4.2/10) to Sell at 4.6/10 after the report.
Coverage in the report window
- Aspen Aerogels Files Prospectus For Offering $150M Mixed Shelf — benzinga, 2026-11-05
- Aspen Aerogels Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript — benzinga, 2026-11-05
- Aspen Aerogels Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results — fiscal.ai, 2026-11-05
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates ASPN Sell at 4.4/10.
1 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +266.7% surprise compares with a +49.1% four-quarter average.
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Customer: GM
- Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)
- Insider activity: 13.56%=extreme
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $4.87
- Price target
- $6.74
- Stop
- $4.53
- Upside to target
- +38.4%
- Reward-to-risk
- 2.6:1
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-06 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
ASPN at TrendMatrix's latest read
Materials producers report against the commodity cycle — realized-price capture and volume, not the EPS line, are the tells in a quarter like this.
- Industry
- Specialty Chemicals
- Market cap
- $428.2M
- P/E (fwd)
- -33.3
- 52-week range
- $2.30–$8.10
- Off 52-week high
- 39.9%
- RSI (14)
- 42
- Volume vs avg
- 0.58×
- Score today
- 4.4/10