Value
6.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 7.0 |
| P/S | 9.7 |
| EV/EBITDA | 4.5 |
| Fwd P/E | 7.8 |
| PEG | 7.8 |
| Analyst target | 4.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 15.6x
- ▸PEG: 0.87
ARHS · Why this verdict
Why Arhaus (ARHS) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 6.0 |
| ROA | 2.7 |
| Gross margin | 3.7 |
| Op margin | 0.3 |
| Net margin | 2.3 |
| Current ratio | 4.7 |
| FCF quality | 7.1 |
| Moat | 5.0 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
4.2/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 2.7 |
| EPS growth | 5.6 |
Momentum
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 2.8 |
| MACD | 9.6 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 6.0 |
| Volume | 4.1 |
- ▸Overbought bear rally (RSI 73)
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
5.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 5.6 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.2/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.1 |
| quality rank | 4.0 |
| growth rank | 2.5 |
Technical
1.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 1.1 |
| support resistance | 0.7 |
| 52w position | 3.9 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 5.8 |
| days to cover | 7.3 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 2.0 |
| beta | 2.4 |
| debt equity | 3.8 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 5.00
- ▸High IV: 68%
Catalyst
7.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:6.5>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:33d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:-0.7=NEGATIVE
Warning (1)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=6.5>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
-0.65
Upside
-9.7%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRecovery — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73
EdgeNo clear edge — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAggressive — Beta 2.29>1.3, MCap $1.2B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.0 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Catalyst at 7.5) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( ASYMMETRY:-0.7=NEGATIVE) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is -0.65 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Catalyst at 7.5, Value at 6.7, and Momentum at 6.5; the weakest are Technical at 1.9, Risk (lower is worse) at 3.0, and Peer rank at 4.2. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.65 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.