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APLDApplied Digital CorporationSell4.8·$23.81

Applied Digital (APLD) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT · SMALLER LOSS+96.7% vs estimateEPS -$0.01 vs -$0.30 estCurrent verdict Sell 4.8/10

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q3 2026

Key numbers

Adjusted EPS
-$0.01
Estimate
-$0.30
Surprise
+96.7%
Revenue (period 2026-08-31)
$262.8M
Score today
4.8/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q3 2026

How the report landed

Applied Digital (APLD) reported a narrower loss than forecast — adjusted EPS of -$0.01 against the -$0.30 estimate (a 96.7% beat on a still-unprofitable quarter).

Around the report

Coverage in the report window

  • APLD CEO Sees 'Scarcity Value' Driving AI Data Center Lease Rates by Over 15% on 250MW Expansion — benzinga, 2026-10-08
  • Needham Maintains Buy on Applied Digital, Lowers Price Target to $70 — benzinga, 2026-10-08
  • Applied Digital CEO Says AI Demand Is Near Maximum — benzinga, 2026-10-08
Current read · as of 2026-10-08

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates APLD Sell at 4.8/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.

3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +96.7% surprise compares with a +115.2% four-quarter average.

What argues against it

  • Concentration risk — Customer: one customer 93% of revenue (93.0%)
  • Concentration risk — Customer: four customers 100% of revenue (100.0%)
  • Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$23.81
Price target
$58.11
Stop
$22.69
Upside to target
+144.1%
Reward-to-risk
11.1:1

Risk check: trading volume is running 2.5× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-08 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Technology context

APLD at TrendMatrix's latest read

Technology names get repriced on forward expectations more than trailing prints — a quarter here is read through next-year growth and multiple, not the EPS line alone.

Industry
Information Technology Services
Market cap
$7.12B
P/E (fwd)
-49.2
52-week range
$19.00–$50.73
Off 52-week high
53.1%
RSI (14)
40
Volume vs avg
2.49×
Score today
4.8/10

EPS and the estimate come from Yahoo Finance’s earnings calendar, captured around the report date. That EPS is the adjusted figure analysts forecast, so it can differ from the GAAP diluted EPS in the company’s filing, and consensus estimates vary between data providers. Revenue comes from SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise. Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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