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APGAPi Group CorporationSell5.7·$45.02

APi Group (APG) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+6.3% vs estimateEPS $0.50 vs $0.47 estVerdict Buy (Wait) → Sell

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy

Event detail · Q3 2026

Key numbers

Adjusted EPS
$0.50
Estimate
$0.47
Surprise
+6.3%
Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
$2.55B
Score at report (before → after)
5.5 → 5.7/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q3 2026

How the report landed

APi Group (APG) beat the $0.47 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.50 — a clear 6.3% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.5/10) to Sell at 5.7/10 after the report.

Current read · as of 2026-10-30

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates APG Sell at 5.7/10.

4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +6.3% surprise compares with a +4.8% four-quarter average.

What supports the rating

  • Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
  • Positive momentum

What argues against it

  • Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
  • V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)
  • Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$45.02
Price target
$45.64
Stop
$42.64
Upside to target
+1.4%
Reward-to-risk
0.1:1

Risk check: RSI 75 — a level conventionally read as overbought; gains at these levels often lean on momentum; trading volume is running 1.6× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-30 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Industrials context

APG at TrendMatrix's latest read

Industrial quarters are order-book stories — backlog and book-to-bill color how the market reads the reported number.

Industry
Engineering & Construction
Market cap
$19.46B
P/E (fwd)
22.4
52-week range
$34.02–$49.99
Off 52-week high
9.9%
RSI (14)
75
Volume vs avg
1.64×
Score today
5.7/10

EPS and the estimate come from Yahoo Finance’s earnings calendar, captured around the report date. That EPS is the adjusted figure analysts forecast, so it can differ from the GAAP diluted EPS in the company’s filing, and consensus estimates vary between data providers. Revenue comes from SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise. Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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