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ALRSAlerus Financial CorporationHold6.0·$31.11-1.43%
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Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $31.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away).

Alerus Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Alerus Financial, National Association that provides various financial services to businesses and consumers in the United States. The company operates in three segments: Banking, Retirement and Benefit... Read more

$31.11+0.4% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#104 of 225 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.73%(5y avg 3.35%)Payout80.00%
Stop $29.69Target $31.22(resistance)A.R:R -1.7:1
Analyst target$29.75-4.4%4 analysts
$31.22our TP
$31.11price
$29.75mean
$27
$32

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $31.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.4% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.6
P/E (Fwd)11.6
Mkt Cap$782M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn11.5%
ROE5.0%
Rev Growth18.7%
Beta0.70
Dividend2.73%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.06bullish
IV86%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -1.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $27.75Resistance $31.86

Price Targets

$30
$31
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R-1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALRS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $31.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $31.22 (+0.4%), stop $29.69 (−4.8%), A.R:R -1.7:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALRS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $31.22 (+0.4% upside). Target $31.22 (+0.4%), stop $29.69 (−4.8%), A.R:R -1.7:1. Stop-loss: $29.69.

What are the risks of investing in ALRS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away).

Is ALRS overvalued or undervalued?

Alerus Financial Corporation trades at a P/E of 29.6 (forward 11.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ALRS?

9 analysts cover ALRS with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $30.

What does Alerus Financial Corporation do?Alerus Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Alerus Financial, National Association that...

Alerus Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Alerus Financial, National Association that provides various financial services to businesses and consumers in the United States. The company operates in three segments: Banking, Retirement and Benefit Services, and Wealth. It offers demand deposits, interest-bearing transaction accounts, money market accounts, time and savings deposits, noninterest-bearing deposits, interest-bearing checking accounts, and certificates of deposit; and treasury management products, including electronic receivables management, remote deposit capture, cash vault, merchant, and other cash management services. The company also provides commercial loans, business term loans, and lines of credit; commercial real estate, and commercial and industrial loans; consumer lending products, including residential first mortgage loans; and installment loans, and loans collateralized by cash and marketable securities. In addition, it offers retirement plan, and investment advisory services, employee stock ownership plan, investment fiduciary services, health savings accounts, flex spending accounts, COBRA recordkeeping, and other administration services, as well as individual retirement accounts; and financial planning, investment management, personal and corporate trust, estate administration, and custody services. Further, the company provides debit cards, personal and business loans, credit cards, online and mobile banking/wallet, private banking, deposit and payment solutions, mortgages, administration, and government health insurance program services. The company was formerly known as First National Bank North Dakota and changed its name to Alerus Financial Corporation in 2000. Alerus Financial Corporation was founded in 1879 and is headquartered in Grand Forks, North Dakota.

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