Alignment Healthcare (ALHC) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.05
- Estimate
- $0.04
- Surprise
- +5.9%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $1.36B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 6.1 → 6.1/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Alignment Healthcare (ALHC) beat the $0.04 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.05 — a clear 5.9% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (6.1/10) to Hold at 6.1/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates ALHC Hold at 6.1/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +5.9% surprise compares with a +41.8% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Customer: CMS contracts
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5)
- Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $8.06
- Price target
- $10.71
- Stop
- $7.50
- Upside to target
- +32.9%
- Reward-to-risk
- 2.2:1
The stock trades at 42.4× trailing but 12.4× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: trading volume is running 1.7× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-30 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
ALHC at TrendMatrix's latest read
Healthcare earnings trade on pipeline and payer dynamics as much as the quarter itself; a beat or miss is weighed against trial and reimbursement news.
- Industry
- Healthcare Plans
- Market cap
- $1.67B
- P/E (fwd)
- 12.4
- P/E (ttm)
- 42.4
- 52-week range
- $6.01–$25.12
- Off 52-week high
- 67.9%
- RSI (14)
- 61
- Volume vs avg
- 1.70×
- Score today
- 6.1/10