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AGNCNAGNC Investment Corp. - DepositSell5.0·$25.37+0.36%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

This preferred deposit instrument carries best-in-class margin characteristics and a near-term bullish technical setup, but it trades above its resistance-derived price target with negative upside of approximately 1.9%, making the current entry unfavorable.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class MarginsStable
  • Golden Cross Technical SetupStable
  • Price Above Resistance TargetStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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AGNC Investment Corp. - Deposit (AGNCN) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $25.37 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Near 52-week high (2.8% away).

AGNC Investment Corp. invests primarily in Agency residential mortgage-backed securities on a leveraged basis, with principal and interest guaranteed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, or Ginnie Mae. The company funds investments through short-term repurchase agreements, targeting... Read more

$25.37-2.0% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#21 of 24 REIT - Mortgage
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield9.25%(5y avg 8.94%)Payout
Stop $25.05Target $24.87(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $25.37 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Near 52-week high (2.8% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Near 52-week high (2.8% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn91.7%
ROE13.2%
Rev Growth
Beta1.30
Dividend9.25%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $24.98Resistance $25.38

Price Targets

$25
$25
A.Upside-2.0%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for AGNCN.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AGNCN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $25.37 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Near 52-week high (2.8% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $25.05. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AGNCN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.87 (-2.0% upside). Prior stop was $25.05. Stop-loss: $25.05.

What are the risks of investing in AGNCN?

Near 52-week high (2.8% away).

Is AGNCN overvalued or undervalued?

AGNC Investment Corp. - Deposit trades at a P/E of N/A (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AGNCN?

20 analysts cover AGNCN with a consensus score of 3.6/5.

What does AGNC Investment Corp. - Deposit do?AGNC Investment Corp. invests primarily in Agency residential mortgage-backed securities on a leveraged basis, with...

AGNC Investment Corp. invests primarily in Agency residential mortgage-backed securities on a leveraged basis, with principal and interest guaranteed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, or Ginnie Mae. The company funds investments through short-term repurchase agreements, targeting leverage of six to ten times tangible stockholders' equity to generate interest income net of borrowing and hedging costs.

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