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AGNC Investment Corp. - Deposit (AGNCN) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $25.77: Concentration risk — Product: Agency RMBS; Near 52-week high (1.3% away).

AGNCN is a depositary share representing AGNC Investment Corp. preferred stock. AGNC is an internally managed mortgage REIT investing primarily in Agency RMBS on a leveraged basis, with principal and interest guaranteed by GSEs or U.S. government, targeting 6-10x leverage.

$25.77-1.9% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#12 of 17 REIT - Mortgage
Stop $25.49Target $25.28(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $25.77: Concentration risk — Product: Agency RMBS; Near 52-week high (1.3% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Agency RMBS
Near 52-week high (1.3% away)
Overbought (RSI 83)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn91.7%
ROE13.2%
Rev Growth
Beta1.36
Dividend9.27%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductAgency RMBS
    10-K Item 1A: 'As a levered investor primarily in fixed-rate Agency RMBS, spread risk is an inherent component of our business.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
83 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $24.65Resistance $25.80

Price Targets

$25
$25
A.Upside-1.9%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts20
Consensus3.6/5
Avg Target

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for AGNCN.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AGNCN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $25.77: Concentration risk — Product: Agency RMBS; Near 52-week high (1.3% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $25.49. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AGNCN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.28 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $25.49. Stop-loss: $25.49.

What are the risks of investing in AGNCN?

Concentration risk — Product: Agency RMBS; Near 52-week high (1.3% away); Overbought (RSI 83).

Is AGNCN overvalued or undervalued?

AGNC Investment Corp. - Deposit trades at a P/E of N/A (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AGNCN?

20 analysts cover AGNCN with a consensus score of 3.6/5.

What does AGNC Investment Corp. - Deposit do?AGNCN is a depositary share representing AGNC Investment Corp. preferred stock. AGNC is an internally managed mortgage...

AGNCN is a depositary share representing AGNC Investment Corp. preferred stock. AGNC is an internally managed mortgage REIT investing primarily in Agency RMBS on a leveraged basis, with principal and interest guaranteed by GSEs or U.S. government, targeting 6-10x leverage.

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